005930

삼성전자KR06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.11%
P05–P95 span
16.22%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-14.33%
Outer 90%
1/5(20%)
Middle 50%
0/5(0%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.84%P25: -4.69%P50: -0.11%P75: 2.79%P95: 6.38%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.