005930

삼성전자KR05/17/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.90%
P05–P95 span
29.40%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.41
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+33.77%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.47%P25: -1.15%P50: 1.90%P75: 4.52%P95: 19.93%

Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.