Insights / kr
005930
삼성전자KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.58%
P05–P95 span
43.18%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.14
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+13.45%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.16%P25: -2.96%P50: -0.58%P75: 1.64%P95: 32.02%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.