005930

삼성전자KR05/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.64%
P05–P95 span
37.68%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.25
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+12.50%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.14%P25: -4.15%P50: 0.64%P75: 8.26%P95: 27.54%

Computed at: 05/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.1 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.