005930

삼성전자KR04/22/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.49%
P05–P95 span
9.93%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+28.03%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.00%P25: -2.95%P50: -0.49%P75: 0.81%P95: 2.94%

Computed at: 04/22/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.