Insights / kr
005930
삼성전자KR04/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.25%
P05–P95 span
24.15%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+24.01%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.78%P25: -4.22%P50: 0.25%P75: 6.10%P95: 15.37%
Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.