005930

삼성전자KR04/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
30.25%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.39
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+17.26%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.69%P25: -2.74%P50: 0.00%P75: 2.22%P95: 19.57%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 12.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.

005930 · 삼성전자 Future Return Distribution (KR) | trade.var.gg