005850

에스엘KR06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-2.50%
P05–P95 span
18.58%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-3.28%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
4/5(80%)
Above median
2/5(40%)
Below median
3/5(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -15.74%P25: -5.19%P50: -2.50%P75: 0.47%P95: 2.84%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.