Insights / kr

005830

DB손해보험KR06/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

← 2026-06-034 / 412026-06-10 →
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Median move
-2.35%
P05–P95 span
16.43%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+7.39%
Outer 90%
1/3(33%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.48%P25: -5.04%P50: -2.35%P75: 0.67%P95: 5.95%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 24.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.