Insights / kr
005420
코스모화학KR05/25/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.07%
P05–P95 span
44.41%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.11
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-28.05%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.62%P25: -2.65%P50: 0.07%P75: 1.94%P95: 30.79%
Computed at: 05/25/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.