005420

코스모화학KR05/10/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.42%
P05–P95 span
29.17%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.42
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-14.25%
Outer 90%
1/10(10%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.50%P25: -3.46%P50: 0.42%P75: 3.70%P95: 16.67%

Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.