Insights / kr
005420
코스모화학KR04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.63%
P05–P95 span
17.44%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-16.63%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.21%P25: -0.47%P50: 1.63%P75: 3.77%P95: 14.24%
Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.