Insights / kr
005420
코스모화학KR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.66%
P05–P95 span
17.77%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+11.58%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.59%P25: -4.76%P50: -0.66%P75: 2.69%P95: 5.18%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.