Insights / kr
005420
코스모화학KR04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.71%
P05–P95 span
18.38%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+14.04%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -14.35%P25: -5.73%P50: -1.71%P75: 0.25%P95: 4.03%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.