Insights / kr
005380
현대차KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.40%
P05–P95 span
19.74%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.61
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.90%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.90%P25: -4.25%P50: -1.40%P75: 0.72%P95: 8.84%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.