005380

현대차KR04/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.14%
P05–P95 span
19.77%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.19%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.47%P25: -1.57%P50: 0.14%P75: 3.27%P95: 15.30%

Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.