Insights / kr
005380
현대차KR04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.44%
P05–P95 span
24.97%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+8.20%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.95%P25: -2.16%P50: 1.44%P75: 4.48%P95: 11.01%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 6.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.