Insights / kr
004990
롯데지주KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.20%
P05–P95 span
15.18%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+5.75%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
4/5(80%)
Below median
1/5(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.28%P25: -1.08%P50: 1.20%P75: 4.32%P95: 12.90%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.