Insights / kr
004990
롯데지주KR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.45%
P05–P95 span
16.57%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+6.60%
Outer 90%
4/6(67%)
Middle 50%
3/6(50%)
Above median
3/6(50%)
Below median
3/6(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.22%P25: -0.13%P50: 2.45%P75: 4.69%P95: 11.35%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 21.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.