Insights / kr
004990
롯데지주KR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.87%
P05–P95 span
18.02%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.55%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.75%P25: -4.55%P50: -0.87%P75: 1.47%P95: 9.28%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.