Insights / kr
004990
롯데지주KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.76%
P05–P95 span
29.84%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.40
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.70%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -19.68%P25: -1.71%P50: 0.76%P75: 2.65%P95: 10.16%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.