Insights / kr
004990
롯데지주KR04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.34%
P05–P95 span
24.04%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-13.55%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.32%P25: -6.18%P50: -1.34%P75: 2.50%P95: 12.72%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.