Insights / kr
004990
롯데지주KR04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.82%
P05–P95 span
12.24%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.11%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.49%P25: -3.69%P50: -1.82%P75: -0.16%P95: 1.75%
Computed at: 04/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.