Insights / kr
004990
롯데지주KR04/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.60%
P05–P95 span
14.15%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.27%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.23%P25: -4.42%P50: -1.60%P75: 0.62%P95: 3.91%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.