004490

세방전지KR05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.12%
P05–P95 span
15.52%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.26%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.62%P25: -2.53%P50: 0.12%P75: 1.93%P95: 5.90%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.