Insights / kr
004170
신세계KR06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.57%
P05–P95 span
15.67%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+8.84%
Outer 90%
2/4(50%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
2/4(50%)
Below median
2/4(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.59%P25: -5.93%P50: -1.57%P75: 1.57%P95: 3.08%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.