Insights / kr
004170
신세계KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.39%
P05–P95 span
16.69%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+35.23%
Outer 90%
1/8(13%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
7/8(88%)
Below median
1/8(13%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.53%P25: -2.98%P50: 0.39%P75: 2.82%P95: 6.16%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.