Insights / kr
004170
신세계KR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
14.07%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+11.28%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.75%P25: -1.85%P50: 0.00%P75: 3.26%P95: 6.32%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.