Insights / kr
004170
신세계KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.66%
P05–P95 span
27.14%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.46
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+11.32%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.28%P25: -4.73%P50: -1.66%P75: 4.15%P95: 14.85%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.