004020

현대제철KR06/09/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.13%
P05–P95 span
11.84%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
-3.89%
Outer 90%
0/1(0%)
Middle 50%
0/1(0%)
Above median
0/1(0%)
Below median
1/1(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.16%P25: -2.78%P50: -1.13%P75: 0.33%P95: 4.68%

Computed at: 06/09/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.