Insights / kr
004020
현대제철KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.87%
P05–P95 span
22.18%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-19.52%
Outer 90%
0/8(0%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
0/8(0%)
Below median
8/8(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.26%P25: -3.64%P50: -0.87%P75: 1.14%P95: 10.92%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.