Insights / kr
004020
현대제철KR05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.98%
P05–P95 span
22.74%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.09%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.94%P25: -7.10%P50: -0.98%P75: 2.92%P95: 9.79%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.