Insights / kr
004020
현대제철KR05/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.91%
P05–P95 span
22.87%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.09%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.49%P25: -5.90%P50: -2.91%P75: 0.00%P95: 12.38%
Computed at: 05/06/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.