Insights / kr
004020
현대제철KR04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.17%
P05–P95 span
13.60%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.73%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.41%P25: -1.84%P50: 0.17%P75: 2.42%P95: 8.19%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 9.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.