Insights / kr
004020
현대제철KR04/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.94%
P05–P95 span
27.40%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.45
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+12.03%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.84%P25: -4.55%P50: -0.94%P75: 1.66%P95: 19.57%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 12.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.