Insights / kr
004000
롯데정밀화학KR06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.36%
P05–P95 span
21.42%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.57
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+7.84%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.80%P25: -5.87%P50: -3.36%P75: -0.64%P95: 9.63%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.