Insights / kr
004000
롯데정밀화학KR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
11.77%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-0.10%
Outer 90%
5/6(83%)
Middle 50%
1/6(17%)
Above median
1/6(17%)
Below median
5/6(83%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.72%P25: -2.38%P50: 0.00%P75: 2.36%P95: 6.04%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.