Insights / kr
004000
롯데정밀화학KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.65%
P05–P95 span
20.37%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-7.48%
Outer 90%
6/8(75%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
0/8(0%)
Below median
8/8(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -14.15%P25: -3.06%P50: -0.65%P75: 1.04%P95: 6.22%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.