Insights / kr
004000
롯데정밀화학KR04/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.39%
P05–P95 span
14.06%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.71%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.00%P25: -4.95%P50: -0.39%P75: 1.74%P95: 4.06%
Computed at: 04/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.