Insights / kr
004000
롯데정밀화학KR04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.06%
P05–P95 span
23.39%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.53
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.81%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.54%P25: -1.67%P50: 2.06%P75: 4.49%P95: 13.86%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.