Insights / kr
003550
LGKR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.13%
P05–P95 span
37.62%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.25
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.62%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -16.57%P25: -6.16%P50: -0.13%P75: 4.37%P95: 21.05%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 23.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.