Insights / kr
003550
LGKR05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.30%
P05–P95 span
25.81%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.48
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.51%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.37%P25: -4.95%P50: -1.30%P75: 3.22%P95: 13.44%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.