Insights / kr
003490
대한항공KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.18%
P05–P95 span
24.52%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.51
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-1.59%
Outer 90%
5/5(100%)
Middle 50%
4/5(80%)
Above median
2/5(40%)
Below median
3/5(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.61%P25: -5.48%P50: 0.18%P75: 2.33%P95: 12.90%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.