Insights / kr
003490
대한항공KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.94%
P05–P95 span
16.71%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-10.31%
Outer 90%
2/8(25%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
0/8(0%)
Below median
8/8(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.55%P25: -2.41%P50: -0.94%P75: 2.12%P95: 12.17%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.