Insights / kr
003490
대한항공KR05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.52%
P05–P95 span
38.65%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.23
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.98%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.85%P25: -5.66%P50: -1.52%P75: 3.12%P95: 26.80%
Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.