Insights / kr
003490
대한항공KR05/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.13%
P05–P95 span
22.45%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.52%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.80%P25: -3.60%P50: -1.13%P75: 2.30%P95: 9.65%
Computed at: 05/06/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.