003490

대한항공KR04/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.70%

P05–P95 span

14.65%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.71

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+6.11%

Outer 90%

8/10(80%)

Middle 50%

4/10(40%)

Above median

7/10(70%)

Below median

2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.15%P25: -2.04%P50: 0.70%P75: 2.99%P95: 6.50%

Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.