Insights / kr
003490
대한항공KR04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.87%
P05–P95 span
20.85%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.41%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.59%P25: -1.47%P50: 1.87%P75: 5.52%P95: 15.25%
Computed at: 04/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.