Insights / kr
003490
대한항공KR04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.71%
P05–P95 span
15.24%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.00%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.52%P25: -3.37%P50: -0.71%P75: 1.87%P95: 6.72%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.