003090

대웅KR06/04/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-2.35%
P05–P95 span
21.11%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-1.90%
Outer 90%
1/4(25%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
1/4(25%)
Below median
3/4(75%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.98%P25: -5.18%P50: -2.35%P75: 1.80%P95: 12.13%

Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.